Last week was a dismal week, the worst in terms of betting for this year’s Premier League. Two draws opened the show in Nottingham followed by an inspired Raymond van Barneveld to shock Phil Taylor. There were wins for Gary Anderson and Michael van Gerwen respectively.
An interesting night of action comes from across the Irish Sea in Dublin as the bottom five players look to escape from the elimination places ahead of next week’s Judgement Night.
Adrian Lewis v Dave Chisnall
Adrian Lewis got a draw last week against James Wade and afterwards said on his twitter about his new set of darts. I hadn’t seen or heard anything about the switch or would have taken him with more caution.
Chisnall has faltered of late losing his last two but he still sits third two points ahead of Taylor and Wade in fourth and fifth respectively. He could do with at least a point to from his next two to consolidate his place in the competition.
This pairs head-to-head record is even at eight wins apiece proving how equally matched they are. An entertaining Draw (7/2) to start the night is my look into this but if pushed would say Lewis wins so the Draw No Bet (4/6) would be the one to win after his performance last week.
Lewis rattled in the doubles last week better than he has in a while, which would give me more confidence to back him.
The bar for the Match 180s has been set quite highly at 7.5 therefore the individual markets of Lewis Over 3.5 180s (evens) would be a way to go. With these new darts he hit four last week and so far has hit 22 in the Premier League.
On the specials Dave Chisnall Highest Match Checkout of the Night (15/2) is worth a look. He took out a 143 last week and has hit a checkout of 100+ in five of the seven nights so far.
Gary Anderson v Stephen Bunting
World Champion Gary Anderson sits in second and can play with freedom knowing he is safe from elimination but that isn’t the case for Stephen Bunting, who sits in sixth on six points. Bunting needs to win to give himself a better chance of escaping elimination.
The head-to-head record shows it in Anderson’s favour at 4 wins to Bunting’s 2 and the Scotsman has being playing well enough to extend that record against the Bullet.
Gary Anderson (4/6) would be a confident bet as he has shown too much good form to suggest he’ll slip up here. Building on that would be the Match Treble of Anderson to win, hit most 180s and highest match checkout (10/3) not the greatest of prices but the Flying Scotsman has shown some big checkouts and can rattle in the 180s when playing rhythmically.
Match 180s Over 6.5 (evens) seems fairly good considering the bar set a bit higher in the Lewis/Chisnall match plus last week alone Anderson hit five and Bunting hit four. The bar has been set strategically by the bookies as Anderson has hit 22 and Bunting 21, so they average around three per match.
Peter Wright v James Wade
I looked at the head-to-head record between these two and was somewhat surprised with the results of the previous games. Out of their 12 meeting James Wade has come out on top ten times. In the grand scheme of matches in the Premier League standings both players need the points to escape elimination, even though Wade already has seven a point here would see him safe.
In honesty this match looks to close to call and putting forward an outright selection without confidence is risky. In recent weeks Wright has had a change of fortunes picking up his points while Wade got points early on before losing a couple only to pick up points from his last two. Small stakes on the Draw (7/2) would arguably the way to go or playing the draw no bet markets.
Wright has hit more 180s than Wade on four of the seven nights and one of those they matched each others tally. Given that Wright Most 180s (10/11) seems fair. The William Hill match market are offering Wright Highest Match Checkout Over 98.5 (5/6) again it is the standard price but he is capable of taking out the three-dart combinations and it’s the same for The Machine, Wade Highest Match Checkout Over 100.5 (5/6).
Michael van Gerwen v Raymond van Barneveld
Michael van Gerwen is unbeaten in the Premier League and sits top on 12 points after five wins and two draws. He continued his fine form this season when winning the Gibraltar Darts Trophy beating Terry Jenkins in the Final. He looks hard to oppose here.
Raymond van Barneveld shocked most people last week when beating Phil Taylor. He averaged 104 hitting three 180s and had a 44% checkout success rate. Very good stats against an opponent he has struggled against in recent times and one who averaged just over 115. Barney needs another win to give himself hope of avoiding elimination or else the defending champion faces a nervy match against Gary Anderson.
I can’t see past Van Gerwen (4/9) and after last week Barney will be in a fighting mode therefore Van Gerwen to win and both players win four or more legs (9/4) would appeal.
When on full flow and in top form van Barneveld is a brilliant finisher, so Van Barneveld Highest Match Checkout (11/8) does interest me at a bigger price, especially when he took out 144 last week.
Phil Taylor v Kim Huybrechts
After last week’s defeat to Raymond van Barneveld expect a reaction from Phil Taylor. He arguably needs at least a point to escape danger next week while Kim Huybrechts needs to get something here to have a chance as he faces Stephen Bunting next week.
Before going on-stage things look against Huybrechts as the head-to-head record is 8-0 in Taylor’s favour and that mental note both players have knowing that the Hurricane hasn’t beaten Taylor would concern me.
The Power has mentioned before that his game drops with the later he is on stage, which could give Huybrechts a bit of hope however Taylor (4/9) won’t repeat last week’s defeat and has the class to brush aside the Belgian here. Something that has caught my eye is the Under 10.5 Total Legs (evens), which means Taylor can win with giving up to three legs away something that for me he’ll do tonight.
It may surprise people that Taylor hit nine (9) 180s in such a short format and a defeat last week. If he finds that form he could blow Hurricane Huybrechts away and Taylor Most 180s (5/4) looks fairly priced up.
Acca: Lewis, Anderson, Van Gerwen & Taylor all to win @ 6/1
Double: Lewis & Van Gerwen to win with both players winning four or more legs @ 10/1