1000 Guineas: Time for a Fad

The second of the classics this weekend is the 1000 Guineas still on the Rowley Mile at Newmarket.

This year’s trophy will change hands, as Andre Fabre hasn’t declared a runner in the race. He triumphed last year when training Miss France to victory.

The main talking point in the build up this week has surrounded the Aidan O’Brien trained Found, who had been the ante-post favourite. However yesterday she was not declared a runner.

That declaration, or lack off, has widened this race up and it is reflected in a tight betting market.

Lets start with the favourite Lucida. She showed she was a progressive type on her first four starts as a two-year- old but disappointed in her final start as a juvenile over this course and distance finishing 5th. In September she beat Fadhayyil by a length in the Rockfel Stakes here over 7f where she picked up well after getting the gap.

She hasn’t had a run this year but she is still a serious contender on the back of her strong juvenile form. If she has progressed from 2 to 3 then she could take some stopping with conditions in her favour.

Fadhayyil (13/2 each-way) is the selection after that strong run in the Rockfel Stakes where she had first run but Lucida was able to pick her up in the final ½f. In that race she didn’t settle too well and if she has learnt how to do so over winter then she is the danger to the Jim Bolger horse.

She was easily beaten on her racecourse debut at this track on soft ground, beaten by 7l by Marsh Hawk. A month later she won a Salisbury Maiden. After only two starts, stepping up into Group 2 Company suggests there is some quality about her. The extra furlong should suit as she is expected to be a better three-year-old where she’ll have improved for her two-year-old experience and hopefully settles into her races better, as there shouldn’t be any greenness.

Redstart and Jellicle Ball were 1st and 2nd in the Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury 15 days ago. The Ralph Beckett winner made the best of her way home from the front. She looked to have extra in the tank suggesting this trip could really suit her and drawn quite well from stall 8 could give her the best opportunity of getting to the front to make all again.

That was only Jellicle Ball second start after only one start, a Maiden win on the all-weather at Kempton as a two-year-old. She’ll have come on for the experience and would have entered a few notebooks for the way she ran on to challenge Redstart. Arguably lacked the know-how that day but if she has progressed from that then the extra furlong should not be a worry at all.

Richard Hannon declared Tiggy Wiggy a runner somewhat surprisingly after only finishing 3rd, behind Redstart and Jellicle Ball, in the Fred Darling. Asked to be settled in behind the leader she didn’t look comfortable, as it was something new for her to experience on the track. It is doubtful she will stay the mile against some good fillies and her best juvenile form is in the sprinting division. Fair to say her price reflects her chances.

David Wachman’s Legatissimo won over 1m1f at Gowran Park just seven days ago quite convincingly. She has a middle distance profile look about her but the only concern would be if this was to come too soon after her listed race victory. She would be one to consider after her exploits last weekend.

Qualify the only O’Brien horse left in the field will have to improve after finishing behind three of the field in the Moyglare Stakes. Osaila would be a threat based on connections, arguably better over 6f and 7f her only start on firm ground over this distance saw her finish 3rd. She was just ahead of Qualify when finishing 5th in the Moyglare.

The other worth a mention is the Mick Channon trainer Malabar. A 4th in the Moyglare was followed up by a 4th in the Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp after encountering problems in-running. Looking a her pedigree she should relish the mile trip but fitness question marks will be raised having not been seen since October. Having said that Channon does seem to have had his horses tuned up nicely so early in the season.

Advice

Fadhayyil (13/2 each-way)

Jellicle Ball (11/1 each-way)

Good Luck!

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