If you read the piece last week you will be aware that we did the clean sweep. Admittedly some were on the draw no bet market where there was still value.
Not only did just those bets land, so would have most of the selections last week including the Draw (10/3) in Wade v Bunting and the Michael van Gerwen Match Treble (3/1).
The main positive from last week is that the ACCA LANDED too!
Just the four games tonight as there is only one match per player for this week and next week.
Dave Chisnall v Stephen Bunting
Dave Chisnall recorded a 7-4 victory over Adrian Lewis last week to confirm his place at the O2 Arena. Stephen Bunting fought back to draw with James Wade, who missed match darts. That draw saw both players all but out of a chance of reaching the semi-finals.
Despite only winning three of the nine meetings between the pair, the first bet would have to be Chisnall to win (evens) with the way he has been playing so far this season. He has scored well and improved his checkout success rate, which makes him a force to be reckoned with.
It’s fair to say this could be the most high-scoring game of the night with both players scoring a fair few 180s, so Over 6.5 Match 180 (8/11).
BONUS PRICE BELOW
If you go on William Hill you can get Chisnall -1.5 Handicap (11/10). This in effect turns out be a bet where Chizzy just needs to win for it to land because a player has to win by two clear legs, which lands the handicap. This is a better price than the outright so you can play this for value or play both for greed!
Adrian Lewis v Michael van Gerwen
Adrian Lewis lost both of his game last week giving him a mountain to climb if he wants to reach the O2 Play-off night. Michael van Gerwen was in imperious form against Phil Taylor and he won 7-4.
Van Gerwen leads the head-to-head count 21-10 and he will extend that tonight. He has already qualified in top spot but Michael van Gerwen to win (4/7) is the main play. It landed last week and if in the same form the Match Treble is likely to land again here; Match Treble of Michael van Gerwin to win, most 180s and highest checkout (10/3).
The tournament sponsors Betway offer a market on the players average at the end of the match. Jackpot hasn’t played consistently or tended to average over 100, so Lewis Average Under 99.5 (5/6). This would have landed in five of his last seven matches.
James Wade v Raymond van Barneveld
James Wade drew against Stephen Bunting last week, which all but saw him out of any hope of reaching the play-off rounds. He now is only playing for pride and will give Barney a test this evening.
Defending Premier League champion Raymond van Barneveld continued his fine form with two victories last week. He beat World Champion Gary Anderson 7-5 before seeing off Adrian Lewis 7-2.
Barney has the better head-to-head record (20-18) and for me his likely to extend that tonight. A win and results going in his favour could see him qualify for the play-off night.
The bets for this would be: Raymond van Barneveld to win (5/4) and looking at the market in the 180s a play would be for RvB Over 3.5 180s (5/4). This match will be quite a close game, so a speculative correct score bet would be van Barneveld 7-4 (8/1).
Another bet with Betway on the player average market would be Wade Under 95.5 (5/6) as he is fairly inconsistent however do tread carefully because this bar has been set right on the edge.
Phil Taylor v Gary Anderson
A win or draw would be enough to see Gary Anderson through to the semi-final stages. Taylor must avoid defeat and hope things go his way to stand any sort of chance of reaching London. If he were to lose it could be the first time since the tournaments inception he has failed to reach the semi-final stages.
The Power played quite well but was just blown away by an in-form Michael van Gerwen. While The Flying Scotsman was 4-0 up before being beaten 7-5 by RvB, which prompted a bit of an on-stage bust-up, which was somewhat uncharacteristic for the World Champion.
Taylor has the better head-to-head record 28-10 however that doesn’t tell the whole tale. Of their last three televised meetings Anderson has won all three and for me he can keep that record going. It’ll be a close game so I’m willing to err on the side of caution by going with Anderson Draw No Bet (evens).
These are quite closely matched in the markets and on the stats from this year’s Premier League would help you side with Anderson. On those said stats you’d best side with Anderson Most 180s (8/11).
Of the other markets available the generic priced Match Checkout market would be something to go Under 118.5 (5/6).
Treble: Chisnall, van Gerwen & van Barneveld to win @ 6.07/1