Ebor Festival York: Day Two

Well, we didn’t get the Juddmonte we wanted with Gleneagles not running and we definitely didn’t get the expected result.

50/1 shot Arabian Queen stunned the Knavesmire by beating Golden Horn leaving it in a shocked silence.

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Away from that the blog put up the first two home in the Acomb with Recorder winning followed home by Bing Bang Bong.

Yesterday’s ground was good to soft and just as the racing finished there was rain in the air with some showers forecast. Again be careful with non-runners.

The focus on Day Two surrounds the fillies and mares, with the Yorkshire Oaks taking centre stage.

13:55 DBS Premier Yearling Stakes

A two-year-old race over 6f and Tasleet sets a high standard. He was fourth over course and distance on debut but shaped well after early keenness. There have been plenty of winners to come out of that maiden with the second, third, fifth, sixth and seventh all winning since. Tasleet’s maiden win came comfortably at Chepstow by 3l. It was a good piece of placing from William Haggas but it is worth saying the third won when next seen. He won the Listed Rose Bowl Stakes at Newbury quickening well to get up on the line. That race was a steady gallop, which wasn’t ideal and he was keen early but proved his class by the way he quickened. In the Group 2 Richmond Stakes he was a well-beaten second to Shalaa but in this sort of contest should be too good. The only concern would be the ground although he is a son of Showcasing, a relatively new sire but has good progeny results with cut in the ground. William Haggas has won this race in the past two years and has a strong chance to make it three consecutive wins.

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The one at a price that could outrun his odds is Mr Lupton. Richard Fahey had a winner yesterday with Mayfair Lady, who bolted up, and these two have form together after the pick beat Mayfair Lady in a Haydock maiden in June. The form from it may get questioned but the fourth Thatsallimsaying was second in the St Hugh’s Stakes Listed race behind Whatdoiwantthatfor over 5f, while the fifth Love On The Rocks has gotten off the mark since. That win was in June but he has held his form since. He was third over course and distance behind Dark Defender, who was short for room in the nursery yesterday, and he followed that up with a second to stablemate Lathom in the Super Sprint at Newbury. He was third in a messy race at Chester after Rogues Gallery broke down when leading. He seems to be a progressive type that will give you a run for your money at a double figure price. Based on his sire’s progeny softer ground shouldn’t be too much of a problem although he is yet to encounter anything described slower than good.

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You could give plenty other chances. Lathom won the Super Sprint at Newbury and pedigree suggests he should stay this extra furlong as he is well related. Another positive would be his win with cut in the ground on debut. Delizia won the Listed Marygate Fillies’ Stakes here at York over 5f and she is on that could improve for the extra trip. Orvar won takingly on debut and then was thrown into some strong races and ran with credit. He was sixth in the Windsor Castle Stakes and was fifth in the July Stakes at Newmarket. Two creditable efforts but he was beaten on soft ground by Raucous close home at Newmarket off this mark of 101. Projection has to be repsected for top connections. He’s a quirky type and that cost him on debut but he made amends by winning next time up by 3l. Could be more to come from him but ground has a question mark. Rantan would need to step up on what he’s shown so far but will handle the ground and won better than his the winning margin suggested at Redcar after he was eased down. He could be an improving type who could out perform his odds.

 Advice: Tasleet (15/8 Win)

            Mr Lupton (16/1)

14:30 Lowther Stakes

The first of the group races on Day Two is the Group 2 Lowther Stakes for Fillies over 6f.

Lumiere was very impressive when winning on debut at Newmarket by 6l. She got the run of the race from the front but quickened nicely under William Buick and put daylight between herself and her rivals. That form was boosted yesterday as the second Sharja Queen won the maiden at Ffos Las by a margin too. The third from that race Shadow Hunter was pitched into a Listed race over 5f on her second start and she finished fourth of 12 suggesting she had potential too. There was plenty to like about her debut and should be more to come. She is a daughter of Shamardal, so the rain softened ground wouldn’t be a concern. However at the price is she I’m taking her on by something that has form in the book.

That form comes with Besharah, who hasn’t been out of the first three on her five career starts. She won on debut at Ascot beating Kassia, who finished down the field in yesterday’s nursery. She followed that up with a win over Whatdoiwantthatfor in a Novice stakes and Richard Hannon’s filly has placed in a Group 3 and won a Listed race since. She was third behind Acapulco and Easton Angel in the Queen Mary before finishing second to Illuminate in the Group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket by the narrowest of margins, where Easton Angel was fourth. Also in that Newmarket race was Blue Bayou, who finished a close third that day and won the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes when last seen. There were doubts about her running in the Group 3 Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes at Ascot on soft ground however she ran and pulled 3l clear of her rivals to win. She looks like a classy filly and in terms of tactics she is likely to stalk Lumiere before hopefully quickening away from her in the closing stages. For me she’ll be in the frame and at her current price it is worth backing each-way as there could still be more improvement to come from Lumiere, who remains an unknown quantity despite her clear cut win on debut.

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Easton Angel
has lots of form that ties in with Besharah and the return to softer ground could help here chances. She ran a blinder in the Queen Mary to finish second (first in the group she raced with.) She followed that up with a fourth in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes behind the pick here but didn’t have the smoothest of runs that day and may have been closer she had a clearer run. She has to come into considerations. Ashadihan won on debut at Haydock beating Martini Time, who has won twice since but that form doesn’t look the strongest compared to the rest of these. Her second effort was a very good one finishing second to Illuminate in the Group 3 Albany Stakes. She is highly thought of by trainer Kevin Ryan and she could still be an improving one to look at here. The form of the trainer is a concern.

Advice: Besharah (9/2 each-way)

15:05 Clipper Logistics Stakes

A competitive 20-runner handicap over a mile and as ever there are plenty you could give chances to.

You’re Fired has been put up by other tipsters and you can see why. He has placed twice in two 18-runner handicaps; second to Alfred Hutchinson and third to Birdman. Karl Burke pulled him out of his previous engagement due to the quick going, so today with some ease in the ground that could suit. He is one that stays on strongly towards the finish but after yesterday it may be better suited to be ridden prominently where the pace is.

Birdman beating You're Fired. Image from Sportinglife.

Birdman beating Musaddas and You’re Fired. Image from Sportinglife.

David O’Meara waved that magic wand of his when Birdman arrived at his yard. Since then he hasn’t been out of the first three from his seven starts. He has been quite progressive in those too, which has seen his mark rise from 70 to 106. He won an 18-runner handicap here beating Musaddas and as mentioned above You’re Fired. He was ridden prominently due to his keenness and kept on well in the final furlong. His most recent start saw him finish third of six in the Listed Pomfret Stakes at Pontefract, which was won in emphatic style by stablemate Mondialiste. With what he has being showing for O’Meara you think there may be something extra left in the tank for this contest.

Musaddas was behind Birdman here 40 days ago. He was a staying on second but encountered problems in running and started slowly; without either he could have challenged. He doesn’t seem to be the most straightforward and that is possibly why the visor replaces the cheekpieces. He’s gone up 2lb for that second but could be capable of better. Mange All hasn’t been seen since finishing fifth in the Lincoln at Doncaster back in March and again didn’t have the best of runs but stuck on for his finishing position. He made good progress last year and could improve again, so it is interesting that William Haggas has saved him for this race. He is one of the more interesting runners in this field.

The one to look at for some value could be Extremity. His form figures may not be the most appealing but he comes here off a 1lb higher mark than his last win. That win came at Thirsk on good to soft ground, similar to what he’ll be getting here. Hugo Palmer’s four-year-old is capable of better and the blinkers replace the cheekpieces in an attempt to get him to settle and concentrate. He did hint to have ability and was a good second in a 14-runner handicap in August here at the track. 78 days off since his last run to freshen him up and his trainer can’t do wrong at the minute, plus Palmer won this race last year with Short Squeeze. He does have his quirks but there is ability in him too.

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Of the rest then Alfred Hutchinson tends to give his running. He is a course regular and has plenty of form here. In May he was second over 7f to So Beloved and is likely to run his race again. He’s No Saint looks to be the main O’Meara horse but there is a question mark on the ground. He was a convincing winner here in a Class 3 handicap and has gone up 11lb for that success where he dictated from the front, which he is likely to do here but there may be ones to contest hi for it.

Advice: Birdman (14/1 each-way)

            Extremity (20/1 each-way)

15:40 Yorkshire Oaks

The feature race of the day for the Fillies and Mares here in this Group 1 Yorkshire Oaks over a 1m4f trip.

The progressive Covert Love sets the standard after her win in the Irish Oaks seeing off Jack Naylor and Curvy. She stayed on strongly in the latter stages of that race and she could easily do the same here if ridden prominently by Pat Smullen. She won the Listed Hoppings Stakes at Newcastle in June beating Talmada but down the field in eighth was Journey, who recently sprung a surprise in winning the Listed Upavon Fillies Stakes at Salisbury, suggesting there is strength in her form. On top of that she beat Tazffin, a filly I quite like, in a handicap here at York. Tazffin won a handicap at Glorious Goodwood and was third behind Journey in that Listed race, so has this Hugo Palmer filly’s form couldn’t be stronger in terms of depth. She sets a high standard here and she is hard to get away from with the way in which she won the Irish Oaks.

Jack Naylor bounced back after a disappointing but troubled run in the Oaks at Epsom with a good run at the Curragh to finish behind Covert Love. She’ll be looking to come off the pace here. Connections reckon she’ll go well on soft ground, so that could see her run well again for Jessica Harrington, who is in a rich vein of form. If she can replicate some of her form shown over a mile as a two-year-old when beating Legatissimo then she has claims. Curvy has been a progressive filly this campaign for David Wachman. She started the season winning back-to-back handicaps at Navan before defeating Giovanni Canaletto in the Group 3 Gallinule Stakes. She followed that up with victory in the Ribblesdale ahead of Irish 1000 Guineas winner Pleascach and was narrowly beaten for second in the Irish Oaks. It is interesting to note that a visor has replaced the cheekpieces for this. Again she is a contender in this but I prefer Covert Love to continue her improvement.

Aidan O’Brien won this last year with Tapestry and his filly Outstanding has come in for support. She won her first two starts this season including the Listed Naas Oakes Trial; stablemate Easter was third but Outstanding stayed on well over the 1m2f trip to suggest the extra trip could see her improve further. She was sent to Belmont to contest the Grade/Group 1 Belmont Oaks where she finished third to classy American filly Lady Eli. She has won on soft ground previously and has a good pedigree, as well to suggest ground and trip shouldn’t be a problem. Sea Calisi is interesting and an unknown on her French form. She won a Group 2 when last seen reversing form with Kataniya, so has to be watched. Lady Of Dubai should be better suited by the return to this trip and was third in the Oaks. She has form with cut in the ground after finishing second to Irish Rookie in a Listed race at Goodwood.

At a price Miss Marjurie could be worth chancing to run into a place. Denis Coakley’s mare has been running well this season after finishing last year with a second in a Listed race over 1m5f. She picked up from that when reappearing at Goodwood winning the Listed Daisy Warwick Stakes by a narrow margin, in the end holding on, but she proved she was game that day. She then won the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes at Haydock before Lady Tiana reversed that form in the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks at the same venue. Miss Marjurie was third that day, just headed by Lustrous to finish second. She is taking a big step up in grade but she is a strong traveller, who didn’t seem troubled by the softer surface in the Lancashire Oaks. A strong, brave mare, who may just run into a place at a bigger price (and after yesterday anything can happen.)

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Advice: Covert Love (3/1 Win)

            Miss Marjurie (25/1 each-way)

16:20 Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes

A Listed race for fillies and mares over 1m4f and there are plenty of interesting runners.

Tony Martin sent Heartbreak City across for the staying race yesterday. That won. So when you see his runners he sit up and take note. Dark Crusader won the 1m6f Guinness Race at the Galway Festival on soft ground. She has the stamina and will relish this ground, so she is a major contender in this race. That day the overnight rain played into her hands and the weather over the last two has again given her a chance in this race. Prior to that she had finished down the field in Group 2 and Group 3 races. However Martin is a shrewd trainer and thinks she’s got a chance to give her the entry.

Suffused ran well to finish second behind Journey in the Listed Upavon Stakes at Salisbury. That effort came after a 11lb rise following a 6l win in a Class 3 handicap. She won her Newmarket maiden on good to soft ground, so this shouldn’t be an inconvenience. She has the pick of the form but stamina would be a question mark for this trip. She stays well over 1m2f but may not see out the extra trip and she is short enough for this race. Martlet is a tracker horse who has won two from her four starts but they have been on the all-weather surface at Chelmsford. There would be hope in her pedigree to suggest she’ll see out the trip but for me the ground will be an issue for her.

Koora is the least exposed of this field and she is open to further improvement. She was third on debut and to be fair not many of Luca Cumani’s win on their first starts anyway. She got off the mark at the second attempt at Doncaster staying on well shaping, as the extra trip will suit her. There is plenty of stamina to give you encouragement about her stamina and the best is yet to come from this daughter of Pivotal. Jordan Princess is a stablemate of Koora but is one I can’t get right. She placed in a Listed race at Newmarket in September before winning the Listed Aphrodite Stakes at the same track. However in between she finished fourth on two starts at Goodwood and Haydock. Her most recent effort was a third in the Group 3 Lillie Langtry Stakes over 1m6f at Goodwood where she didn’t find to much in the final furlong. She drops in trip here but is penalised so gives 4lb away to her rivals making this more difficult for her.

It is a tight betting heat and I could list many more but two others would be Shoal who has only had two starts winning her maiden by a head on her second start. That form may not be strong but she is still open to improvement but she was withdrawn six days ago due to soft ground. Question mark whether she’ll run. The other to mention is Melodious. We saw David Elsworth pull off a surprise victory yesterday in the Juddmonte and his filly has a chance. She goes well on softer ground and hasn’t done badly on her two starts over this trip where it was quick ground. The return to cut in the ground may help to see her settle a bit better and after her fourth at Goodwood you suspect there is a race in her, if it’s at this grade I’m not sure but is worth noting at a price.

Advice: Dark Crusader (9/1 each-way)

16:55 EBF Stallions Stakes

The final race on the card is a 7f Fillies handicap where Mistrusting heads the market. She has to carry a 6lb penalty for her success at Newmarket six das ago but it is clear to see why she heads the betting. She won that race well despite the small field. If you look back at her previous run she was second to Magical Memory (now rated 108), who could be quite special with the turn of foot he showed to win the Stewards Cup at Goodwood. She is unexposed and could be still be ahead of the handicapper, so needs to come into considerations.

As does Spangled, who is also near the head of the market. She got off the mark at the second attempt at Lingfield winning very cosily before taking a handicap at Newmarket where despite a slow start saw out the race well to win by a length. In that handicap the second has won since while the third has finished second on her next two; one of those seconds was behind Mistrusting. She’s shown ability and warrants respect for a trainer who has being going well recently in Roger Varian. The ground leaves a question mark though.

I’m going to take a chance on the more exposed but fairly consistent Dusky Queen. Mayfair Lady won the final race on the card in these colours yesterday and it could happen again here. She has form on soft ground after finishing second in a handicap at Newbury and second in a Listed race at Haydock. That helps that worry. Two starts ago she won the Listed City Plate at Chester where she stayed on well under Patrick Mathers. She then went into Group company and was six of ten in the Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood. In that race she was beaten by some nice types, so wasn’t disgraced. The majority of her starts have come here at York. Her record looks good; from her eight starts she has three wins and two placed efforts to her name. She won the Chester Listed race off 99, which she runs off her with Sammy Jo Bell taking 3lb plus the jockey has had success on her before. At a price she offers an each-way angle into this race.

Royal Seal was second to Dusky Queen here in May and seems to operate well with cut I the ground. She seems like she is on a mark with little room for error but could go close under Pat Smullen. The hood was off for her previous run at Newmarket but is back on today. Marsh Hawk won her maiden on soft ground and won a juveniles race n good to soft last year. She was well beaten in a Listed race at Dusseldorf over a mile when last seen but drops back to 7f here and the ground is a positive. Risen Sun should also like the ground her maiden win came in a weak race at Hamilton with cut in the ground and her most recent effort came off this mark on soft ground at Newmarket finishing second of seven. She may need to find some more improvement but ground could play a part here. Secret Hint needs to prove something after fading in her only attempt at the trip, on her day she is a good horse and could be a player off this mark.

Advice: Dusky Queen (14/1 each-way – Betway)

Good Luck!


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