Premier League: Tottenham v Man City

Not much luck last weekend after Man United thumped Leicester in a surprising turn of events at Old Trafford and that was followed by a comfortable Arsenal win against Chelsea.

The Euro’s were profitable, but to date the Premier League hasn’t been so kind. A change of fortunes is in the offing with this Super Sunday fixture.

The P/L up to now is -7.74.


Tottenham v Man City

Venue: White Hart Lane

Kick Off: 14:15

Referee: Andre Marriner


Team News

Eric Dier missed the midweek trip to Russia with a hamstring problem and will be assessed prior to kick off surrounding his participation.

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Moussa Sissoko is a doubt with a head injury whilst forward Harry Kane remains on the sidelines.

Pep Guardiola will be without Kevin de Bruyne after he limped off against Swansea last weekend.

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Vincent Kompany and Fabian Delph remain out whilst John Stones is likely to return to the starting XI in place of Gael Clichy allowing Aleksandar Kolarov.


Preview

Going into this weekend these two sides occupy the top two places and they are the only two unbeaten. It pits the highest scoring side (Man City) against the meanest defence (Tottenham).

Both of these sides were seen in Champions League action during the week to varying degrees of success. Spurs were 1-0 winners in Moscow whilst Man City fought back three times to draw 3-3 against Celtic.

Man City’s draw highlighted frailties in their set up and a team like Tottenham, even without Harry Kane could exploit them, especially if Mauricio Pochettino sets up to get at this defence and employs a high pressing game.

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Six of the last eight Premier League meetings have seen Both Teams to Score (8/13 – Bet 365) and in those six both teams to score matches there has been Over 2.5 Goals (7/9 – 188Bet). That would prompt the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals market and that is 19/20 with Coral.

However the two bets I’m putting up are both odds against.

The first one would have landed in four of the last eight and does focus around the Citizens.

Man City are the highest scorers with 18 goals so far with ten of them coming in the first home. That has meant they have gone in at the break in the lead in 83% of their matches.

Tottenham do have the sternest defence having only conceded three goals. It’s a small sample size because of how few they’ve conceded but two of those goals have been in the first half.

On top of that, Spurs have trailed twice at half time, including once at home against an attack minded Liverpool side.

Yes, the visitors are without Kevin de Bruyne, but they still have David Silva, Sergio Aguero, Raheem Sterling and Ilkay Gundogan, which is a menacing quartet for the Spurs back line to deal with.

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So with that in mind including all of the stats then Man City to be Winning at Half Time does look like a bet worth having a stab at.

On the back of that I would say Tottenham can get something from this game, so a fight back could be on the cards meaning a Man City HT/Draw FT (15/1 – Bet Victor) wouldn’t be out of the question.

This season these two have been high on the corner count with Spurs matches having 80, at an average of 13.3 per game, compared to Man City’s 65, an average of 10.8 per match.

The bookies are expecting corners with the way they’ve set the bar. They’ve gone at 11.5 at just a shade under EVS.

The last eight meetings have had: 14; 8; 7; 15; 11; 8; 10 & 9, so no obvious trend. They average out to 10.25 per game, so these are markets only to consider in-play.

Andre Marriner is the man with the whistle and he has overseen this fixture in two previous seasons.

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He showed 7 cautions in the 2014/15 fixture and then in the 2013/14 season he showed 5 yellows and dismissed Danny Rose.

In his four Premier League matches to date the Birmingham based official has shown 15 yellows, at an average of 3.75 per game, and dismissed Ahmed Elmohamady last weekend.

This fixture could be on to look at for booking points. In recent years the cards have been (reds in brackets): 6; 4; 3 (1); 7; 4; 5 (1); 3 & 5.

Man City have picked up 13 yellows so far compared to Tottenham’s 10. If Man City go behind and need to chase the game then you can see them picking a few cards.

Anyhow, the second bet I’m putting up is because of a certain man in form. No not Sergio Aguero (13/10 anytime – Betfair) but Heung-Min Son.

The South Korean has scored six goals and got an assist in his last six league matches for the hosts plus he was the goalscorer in the Champions League win in midweek.

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We saw at Middlesbrough last week how he can score from anywhere, so Man City’s defenders and defensive midfielders can’t afford to give him that much space, especially if he’s looking to cut back onto his left foot because that would be perilous.

I’m surprised to see him at the price he is considering his rich vein of form and the fact that Man City have conceded in all three away games to date.


Advice:

Heung-Min Son Anytime Goalscorer (11/4 – Bwin – 0.5pt)

Man City to be Winning at Half Time (2/1 – Various – 0.5pt)

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