Saturday delivered with a main winning bet plus a tidy bet on the shortlist coming in.
Bournemouth vs Everton was 0-0 at half time but four shared second half goals saw the 21/20 main bet land easily in the end.
Tranmere were on the shortlist. I gave you two option with them with a win (23/20) or the correct score grouping of 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 (21/10) and that came in with it just being a 1-0 win over Port Vale to extend their terrible away record.
I’ve been chasing a tail trying to find something appealing for today’s card given the infancy of a number of leagues. The bet I’ve spotted looks a big price considering recent outcomes.
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Anzhi (17:00)
The riches seem a distant past for Anzhi, who have had to massively transform and rebuild.
After four games this season they find themselves in the relegation zone having picked up just three points following a 1-0 win at Ural in their opening game.
A three game losing streak has followed, including a 3-1 home defeat at the hands of Orenburg last time out.
Lokomotiv haven’t got off to the best of starts themselves with just one goal scored in four games with five points on the board.
The club from the capital started with two goalless draws, including one in the Moscow derby against Spartak before losing 1-0 at Orenburg then winning by that scoreline last Sunday against Krylya Sovetov.
That win came at a cost with midfielder Vladislav Ignatyev being dismissed 12 minutes from time, so he’ll have to watch on from the sidelines.
I looked at the match with results and H2H data before looking at the markets as usual, so I was shocked to see Lokomotiv 1/4 best price to win this given their start to the season.
Like I started with, Anzhi have undergone plenty of changes and manager Magomed Adiev has his work cut out with this season ahead but he’ll likely line up with a 5-4-1 here in a bid to frustrate the hosts.
When you look at Lokomotiv’s home form you’ll see they are unbeaten in ten home games but many of them have been low scoring affairs.
Their last seven home games, including last season, have yielded a total of three goals. That’s three 1-0 wins and four 0-0 draws, so this isn’t the place to come for entertainment.
Add in the fact that Anzhi have played three of their four games away this season with two 1-0 scores meaning this is unlikely to get the pulse racing.
To compound matters for those paying to get in would be the fact that the last three games between these sides has seen just two goals. A 0-0 draw with two 1-0 Lokomotiv wins.
That is a complete lack of goals on that part, especially with Lokomotiv’s four games so far seeing just two, with one at each end.
I hope I’m selling this as a must watch spectacle!
Lokomotiv 1-0 (21/5 – Marathon) must be worth a look given it’s won in the last two H2Hs, plus is their only winning score this season.
Despite the bookies expecting this to be a simple stroll in the chilly Russian air for the hosts, they could take some time to get going, especially with it taking Spartak 70 minutes to break Anzhi down a couple of weekends ago.
Despite the short quotes for a home win and similarly short quotes for goals, the bare stats suggest differently, so that’s good enough for me, especially at the price.
Under 1.5 Goals (12/5 – Unibet – 0.5pt)
Motherwell vs Rangers (12:15)
There has been plenty of needle in the build-up following some comments in the media from Peter Hartley in regards to Fabio Cardoso’s sustaining a broken nose in this fixture last season.
Rangers have had a few disciplinary issues under Steven Gerrard, so his players will need to watch their heads.
This could boil over despite the experienced Craig Thomson in the middle, so cards an option.
Peter Hartley to be shown a card (3/1 – Bet365) could be a way in given Rangers players could target him for a bit of treatment following those comments and he could retaliate.
Conor Goldson to be shown a card (7/2 – Bet365) is an option for the Gers. He was cautioned on the opening day against Aberdeen and was booked late on in the Europa League win on Thursday, so the CB is one to potentially watch, as is Kyle Lafferty at the same price for Rangers.
Gent vs Lokeren (17:00)
There isn’t much pre-match value given the shortness of the prices and the lack of good markets for what I’m about to say.
Gent are unbeaten in their last six in all competitions after losing their opening league game away at Standard Liege.
They were held by Bordeaux on Thursday despite being the dominant side and just failing to get the goal they deserved.
Having watched the second half of that game, I can confess they were good for corners and when I delved deeper in to their team totals then that stacks up.
So far this season in all seven competitive games their totals have been: 5, 9, 3, 11, 6, 8 & 8.
The lowest of those figures was a three, which came away in the first leg of a Europa League tie in Poland, so circumstances say you go there to keep it tight and they did nick a winner, so tactically it worked.
Otherwise their corner tallies have been fairly good. Only Sky Bet have available corners markets at the time of writing with Gent requiring eight for an odds-on bet – 8+ Gent Corners (11/10) but I’m sure if you have this on in-play, you could catch some good ‘Race to’ markets to get better value.
Sevilla vs Villarreal (21:15)
These two were involved in two humdingers last season with nine goals across the two meetings.
Those two games saw 12 corners in both, while there were three red cards and booking points of 110 and 85 respectively.
Sevilla’s season started at the end of July with Europa League qualifying and Pablo Sarabia has been in good form in front of goal and he got their winner on Thursday night finishing a good move.
That’s seven goals for Sarabia so far, so for a goalscoring option at 21/10 with Bet365 looks appealing.
Villarreal will be looking to bounce back following a disappointing home defeat to start their campaign, especially after Gerard Moreno put them ahead early on.