Not to be for Norway who had to settle for a point with a 1-1 draw in Slovenia. The stats on Bet365 finished with 63 dangerous Norwegian attacks to just 6 from Slovenia plus Norway had a first half goal disallowed.
Remind to steer clear from the Nations League unless there is an attractive cards bet!
It’s the domestic action to feast upon this afternoon, plus more quality racing from Cheltenham.
Burton Albion vs Coventry (15:00)
Having priced this game up myself, I’m in complete disagreement with the oddsmakers.
At the time of writing, the odds are:
Burton 11/8 Draw 12/5 Coventry 9/4
The odds I have this game are:
Burton 2/1 Draw 7/2 Coventry 5/4
Straight away you can see that I’ve got the game opposite to how the bookies have it, which surprises me by Coventry’s recent form.
The Sky Blues were knocked out of the FA Cup by fellow League One side Walsall last weekend but in the league they’ve been in fine form.
Mark Robins men are unbeaten in six having won five in a row before drawing 1-1 with fellow play-off chasing Accrington Stanley.
There has been a few fitness doubts about a couple of players but Robins has cover to call up for this trip to the Pirelli Stadium.
Burton succumbed in the FA Cup, like Coventry, to League One rivals. Their last four league games have all been high-scoring encounters.
A 3-2 win at struggling Plymouth before holding promotion chasing Portsmouth to a 2-2 draw were part of a three match unbeaten league sequence before that ended against Peterborough.
A 3-1 victory at Walsall at the beginning of the month got them back to winning ways but a key part of the success for the Brewers is missing here.
Liam Boyce, who has recorded three assists (joint-most at the club), is away on international duty with Northern Ireland and that is a big blow for their chances here.
Both Teams to Score (5/6 – Ladbrokes/Coral) has landed in the last four league matches for both of these respective sides, so goals could be an angle with Coventry having scored nine in their last four.
Jordie Hiwula-Mayifuila has three in four for the Sky Blues and he’s one that can chip in with goals from wide areas while Jonson Clarke-Harris has bagged in Coventry’s last two away games in all competitions.
With Robins’ side only being kept out of the play-off places on goal difference then they’ll be looking to keep pace with those above and can do that by taking the three points here.
At the prices, Coventry look big based on recent form and how I’ve got this game down, so for me the away win is backable.
Coventry to Win (9/4 – Bet365/Unibet)
Accrington vs Barnsley – BTTS & Over 9 Corners (7/4 – Bet365 Bet Builder)
Two of the form sides in League 1 and there should be plenty of entertainment for the paying public.
BTTS is 6-8 in Accrington home matches and they went down 3-2 in the EFL Trophy at Blackpool on Tuesday night.
Barnsley have won their last five matches in all competitions and they are one of the better attacking units in the division.
The Tykes have scored 29 goals, only Sunderland (32) and Peterborough (33) have netted more, while Daniel Stendel’s side average the most shots on target per game at 6 showing they do create chances.
Goals look good, as do corners! Put their two averages together then we should be looking for a total around 12 with Accrington averaging 5.35 for and Barnsley taking around 6.88 per game.
6-8 Accrington home games have seen double figures for corners while it’s 7-8 in Barnsley away games and the Tykes have recorded some good team totals on the corner front, so could be worth a look at to take most corners, but this bet builder looks more than fair.
Forest Green vs Morecambe
I’m more interested by the referee here because he’s not generally a cards issuer.
Ben Toner is the man in the middle and from 13 games this season has shown 26 yellows and 1 red. They are incredibly low figures when you consider him up against some of the whistlers across the Football League.
I’m not one to back unders in goals or booking points but he’s a referee that could suit and Under 40 Booking Points (8/11 – Sky Bet) has landed in 11 of his 13 games.
Even the game that he sent a player off saw this bet land with just another yellow card issued meaning the booking points totaled 35.
In terms of the two sides then they are two sides that commit few fouls to help that angle.
Morecambe have committed the joint-fewest fouls in the league (168) while Forest Green have only committed 174, which is the next best on the list.
The visitors average 1.47 cards per game compared to Rovers’ 2.06, so that indicates low cards and with both of those angles hinting at Forest Green Most Booking Points (11/4 – Sky Bet).
They’ve committed more fouls than Morecambe and picked up 8 more yellows and one more red.
The hosts average just shy of 20 booking points per home game while Morecambe average 11.25 booking points per away game and the Shrimpers have got through three away games without seeing a single card.
A low cards referee mean it could take just one home card to win the most booking points bet and at 11/4 it looks too big on all the known stats.
Boreham Wood vs Ebbsfleet – BTTS (19/20 – Bet365)
Keep it simple with this game at Meadow Park as two sides in mid-table go head-to-head.
Both sides are averaging a goal scored and a goal conceded this season, plus the both teams to score stats look pretty good too.
Boreham Wood home games have seen BTTS in 7 of 9 matches while Ebbsfleet on the road have seen it in 6 of 9 matches.
Danny Kedwell, who has netted double figures in eight of his last nine seasons, already has seven for Ebbsfleet and in opposition is young forward Josh Umerah, who has six goals to his name for Boreham Wood.
The opening day of the November meeting belonged to Paddy Brennan, who rode a treble.
For the blog, Station Master was second in the opening contest yesterday and Josies Orders took top honours in the Cross Country.
I’ve only had a couple of bets on the card here:
13:50 – Looking Well (16/1)
Nicky Richards’ nine-year-old should relish this test of stamina and he ran on well at Perth last time over 3m suggesting this extra 3f should be right up his street.
He won at Kelso over 3m2f back in May 2016 and after a 244-day break followed that up when finishing a staying on second in the Sky Bet Chase at Doncaster off a mark of 132.
Once again that effort proved he’ll require a test of stamina, which he’ll get here, and he’s only 3lb higher than that eye-catching run. If Brian Hughes can get him into a nice rhythm then he could well take a hand in the finish to deny Singlefarmpayment, who has been unlucky around here in the past.
14:25 – Benatar (8/1)
This renewal of the BetVictor Gold Cup looks very deep in terms of quality.
Mister Whitaker won a Novices Handicap Chase at the Festival here in March when beating Rather Be by a head. The latter has a big pull at the weights but the former has race fitness.
However, I’m with Benatar for the Moore team. He has stacks of useful form from last season, including when getting the better of Finian’s Oscar in a Grade 2 at Ascot in December.
He stepped up on that form when finishing third in the JLT behind Shattered Love and Terrefort but he did finish ahead of Kemboy, who we saw win the Grade 2 Clonmel Oil Chase on Thursday for Willie Mullins.
You can put a line through his reappearance on heavy ground at Newton Abbot. This son of Beneficial wasn’t given a hard time and that pipe opener should have him spot on for this and we’ve seen Gary Moore have some success this season with Traffic Fluide.
A few of others to note for me are Movewiththetimes, who looks set to have more to offer this season for Paul Nicholls. He’s had plenty of goes over these fences, so is used to the Cheltenham test and might be well treated off 140.
King’s Socks has been in the notebook since moving to these shores but is yet to live up to his potential. He’s not one to write off yet as a six-year-old and having had his wind done over the summer may him in a better light. David Pipe’s charge may need the run but he’s one I wouldn’t discount easily.
Neil Mulholland had a winner here yesterday and Kalondra has some good novice form in the book. He won here last December and didn’t run badly in a Grade 2 here in April in a race won by Traffic Fluide. At Galway he looked to be travelling quite smoothly and coming into contention before coming to grief two out. If that fall hasn’t knocked his confidence then he is a big player.